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Friday 29 April 2022

Daily Money: Are we in a recession? Plus, Amazon and Apple earnings

Today's top stories from USA TODAY Money. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
usatoday.com

The Daily Money
 
Friday, April 29

New to the newsletter? Subscribe to The Daily Money to get the best consumer and financial news from USA TODAY delivered to your inbox every weekday morning. And give our news-inspired Spotify playlist a listen. It features every song quoted here.

Happy Friday, Daily Money readers. We finally made it. Jayme Deerwester back with you.

Are we in a recession?

It's tempting to say that the U.S. is inching toward a recession (commonly defined as a significant decline in economic activity for at least two quarters), or it's already in one. 

At least that's the takeaway some economists had from Thursday's GDP report, which showed that the U.S. economy shrank at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.4% in the first quarter of 2022. A steep pullback in exports resulting from supply chain bottlenecks had the most significant drag on GDP last quarter.

Recessions range in duration, from the 2-month-long one in 2020 to the Great Recession of 2007-2009, which lasted 18 months. The average is 10.3 months.

Economists are all over the map with their predictions for this one, with Deutsche Bank economists predicting "we will get a major recession" beginning in late 2023 or early 2024 and PNC Bank saying "the U.S. economy is not anywhere close to recession." Many, however, are expecting a mild downturn.

📰 More headlines you can't miss ðŸ“°

RECESSIONS AND INVESTING: Guarding your portfolio against a 2023 US recession means doing little.

WILL DISNEY DITCH FLORIDA? We unravel the complicated issues in DeSantis versus Mouse.

CAR RECALLS: Ford, Lexus, Mercedes, Nissan all issued bulletins this week.

DOXX-PROOFING YOURSELF: Google to let people remove phone numbers, addresses from search.

MEET WARREN BUFFETT'S SUCCESSOR: Greg Abel is a 'regular guy' from Iowa with 'shocking workload.'

Amazon earnings down, Apple's up (but with a dire prediction)

Amazon reported its first quarterly loss since 2015 on Thursday, its money-making juggernaut stalled by a slowdown in pandemic-induced online shopping and a huge write-down of its investment in an electric-vehicle startup. It wasn't all bad news, as the company's cloud-computing business' earnings rose 37% and advertising sales were up 25%.

Still, the slowdown in online spending is real and broad-based. While in-store sales rose, March is the first month to show decline in online sales since the pandemic began, according to Mastercard SpendingPulse.

Apple reported strong quarterly results despite supply shortages, but warned that its growth slowdown is likely to deepen. The company said it's still struggling to get enough chips to meet demand and contending with COVID-related shutdowns at factories in China that make iPhones and other products.

The main takeaway: Apple's sales will be squeezed by the supply problems much harder in the current April-June quarter than in its previous one. The company estimated it would take a hit to revenue of $4 billion to $8 billion as a result.

"It will affect most of the product categories," Apple CEO Tim Cook told analysts.

🎧 Mood music ðŸŽ§

The Great Recession and the short-lived COVID recession both inspired a bunch of rap tracks, but today, I'm going with the OG economic stress song, Grandmaster Flash's 1982 classic, "The Message."

"Don't push me, 'cause I'm close to the edge. I'm trying not to lose my head. Ah-huh-huh-huh, it's like a jungle sometimes it makes me wonder how I keep from going under."

LISTEN WHILE YOU WORK: You can hear just about every song quoted in the newsletter on the Daily Money Mood Music playlist on Spotify.

A person wearing a suit stares at a large $1 bill with a descending arrow on it.
The U.S. economy shrank last quarter. But does that mean recession?
GDP fell by 1.4% last quarter. That doesn't necessarily mean the U.S. is closer to a recession, but some say one might be on the way in 2023.
As recession odds rise, the best investment advice is don't do much
Some think inflation has peaked. However, there ar
Apple reports strong earnings but warns of trouble ahead
Apple reported better-than-expected profits Thursd
Amazon suffers rare quarterly loss as online shopping slows
Amazon reported its first quarterly loss since 201
About to start claiming Social Security? Take these 3 steps first.
Two people standing outside and hugging.
Will Disney leave Florida? A look from inside the Sunshine State
Mickey Mouse and Minnie Mouse in front of the Magi
Ford, Lexus, Mercedes, Nissan among car recalls this week
Cars
Ford recalls 2020-22 Explorer SUVs that can roll away while in park
17. Ford Explorer     • Units sold Q1 2022:  42,73
Google to let people remove phone numbers, addresses from search
A Google logo appears on a tablet screen.
Buffett successor Abel: 'Regular guy' from Iowa
In this April 30, 2010 photo, Greg Abel is seen in
 
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Thursday 28 April 2022

Daily Money: US economy shrinks for first time since 2020

Today's top stories from USA TODAY Money. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
usatoday.com

The Daily Money
 
Thursday, April 28

New to the newsletter? Subscribe to The Daily Money to get the best consumer and financial news from USA TODAY delivered to your inbox every weekday morning. And give our news-inspired Spotify playlist a listen. It features every song quoted here.

Happy Thursday, Daily Money readers. Jayme Deerwester back with you, enduring some of that lovely whiplash-inducing, late-April Kentucky weather. Suffice it to say I'm not putting away my coats and sweaters just yet.

🎓 Poll: Students want debt relief – not necessarily cancellation ðŸŽ“

Young people want student loan debt relief but they may not want it eradicated altogether, researchers found in a recent Harvard University poll.

A total of 2,024 18-to-29-year-olds were surveyed; of them, 85% said they favor some form of government action on student loan debt, but only 38% favor total debt cancellation.

Borrowers who are Latinx – of Latin American origin or descent – or Black are "disproportionately overrepresented when it comes to student debt borrowing or student debt in general," says Jorge Burmicky, an assistant professor of educational leadership and policy studies at Howard University.

"People are hurt by student loans very differently, and some are more likely to pay it back than others, depending on your field, depending on your background," he says.

📰 More headlines you can't miss ðŸ“°

ECONOMY SHRANK IN FIRST QUARTER:  After a banner 2021, GDP fell 1.4% in the first quarter of 2022. It's the first drop since 2020. 

SUMMER INFLATION: Supply-chain strain boosts prices, may limit choices.

'WHERE THE FUTURE BEGINS': Fort Worth, Texas, becomes first in the U.S. to mine bitcoin.

THEY'RE HERE: Ford electric pickup, F-150 Lighting, to hit streets within weeks.

RUSSIA CUTS OFF NATURAL GAS TO EUROPE: Will U.S. diesel fuel prices spike?

'UBER FOR ELDERCARE': These services help give caregivers a break.

Why Elon Musk wants to take Twitter private

Elon Musk has argued that in order for Twitter to be successful and serve the "social imperative" of free speech, it must be "transformed as a private company."

The biggest, and most obvious, benefit of making the company private is allowing more flexibility to make big changes when a company is not under the scrutiny of thousands of shareholders and public filings required by the Securities and Exchange Commission, financial experts say.

Going private is a move Musk wanted to make with Tesla in 2018. Wild stock swings and the quarterly earnings cycle both distracted workers and put pressure on the company to make decisions that were right for the moment, but not in the long-term, he wrote. 

Musk still would be held accountable by his financiers, but going private may allow him to add value to the company, says Matthew Faulkner, an assistant professor of finance at San Jose State University. 

"Acting in the best interests of the shareholders is the goal of the board and management," Faulkner explains. "And that's a very important thing to think about with the decision that they made here."

🎧 Mood music ðŸŽ§

In the past few years, I've seen several social media posts from friends in their late 30s and early 40s celebrating the fact that they finally paid off their student loans and got educational lender Sallie Mae off their backs. So today's track, Dee-1's "Sallie Mae Back," goes out to them and everyone else who's finally free.

"For those that doubted me yeah this is payback. And I been on my grizzy since way back. And no sir, I don't drive a Maybach. But guess what I did? I finished paying Sallie Mae back Mae back."

LISTEN WHILE YOU WORK: You can hear just about every song quoted in the newsletter on the Daily Money Mood Music playlist on Spotify.

WASHINGTON, DC - MARCH 15: The Too Much Talent Band and local activists have a joyful protest of music and dancing outside of The White House to "Cancel Student Debt" on March 15, 2022 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Paul Morigi/Getty Images for We The 45 Million)
Students, grads want debt relief. Not all want total cancellation.
Some people discuss student loan debt relief in terms of fairness, wondering if debt should be eliminated for everyone or those in most dire need.
After a banner 2021, economy contracts for first time since 2020
The widespread economic reports have shown mixed s
Here's why Elon Musk says he wants to take Twitter private
Once Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk gains control
Here we go again: Strained supply chains could mean high prices
A father and daughter shopping for a used car toge
US diesel fuel prices could rocket from Russia's latest move
Russia's energy giant Gazprom said on April 27, 20
Ford launches F-150 Lightning, first electric pickup for the masses
Bill Ford, the executive chair of the Ford Motor C
'Uber for eldercare': These services help give caregivers a break
Young female caregiver helping senior woman walkin
Beyond 'I've fallen and I can't get up': Next-gen tech for seniors
Know those life jackets that inflate when you hit
Texas city becomes first in the US to mine bitcoin
Bitcoins on top of a smartphone.
How to know if someone is snooping on your PC or Mac
A person at a computer taking notes.
 
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