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Friday 1 December 2023

The Daily Money: Is the economy soaring or stumbling?

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Gross domestic product is rising, but a parallel measure of income is relatively flat, telling conflicting stories of the U.S. economy.

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The Daily Money

ALL THE MONEY NEWS YOU NEED TO KNOW

Fri Dec 1 2023

 

Daniel de Visé Personal Finance Reporter

Good morning! This is Daniel de Visé with your Daily Money.

It's been a slow week, with the possible exception of that whole Endless Shrimp kerfuffle at Red Lobster.

In short, maybe it isn't so resilient after all.

This week, the Commerce Department  revised up its estimate of economic growth in the third quarter to an annual rate of 5.2%. That's the fastest expansion of the nation's gross domestic product – the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S. − since fall 2021, when the country was still bursting with pent-up demand amid the pandemic.

But a far-lesser-known gauge of the economy tells a starkly different story.

Gross domestic income (GDI) rose at an annual rate of just 1.5% in the July-September period and has grown feebly over the past year even while GDP has advanced solidly. Over the past four quarters, GDP has increased 3% while GDI has fallen 0.16%, according to an analysis of Commerce data by Joseph LaVorgna, chief economist of SMBC Nikko Securities.

That's the biggest disparity between the two measures in recent memory.

And what is gross domestic income? According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, it is a measure of the incomes earned and the costs incurred in the production of gross domestic product.

The debate over which economic measuring stick is better isn't just academic. The Federal Reserve may want to see the economy cool down before deciding that inflation is pulling back enough so that it doesn't have to raise interest rates again.

News High Cost Of Insulin Products

Mar 24, 2023; Millwood, NY, USA; Gianluca Cefalo, 12, of Millwood, NY, pulls a syringe of insulin for use in an Omnipod 5 insulin pump. While the three largest makers of insulin have announced plans to slash prices, the cost of the medication is just one of many expenses people with diabetes must cover. A dispute between the families health insurer and the company that makes the pump leaves them with a monthly bill of $872 for his care. Mandatory Credit: John Meore-USA TODAY

John Meore-USA TODAY

Insulin users beware: your Medicare drug plan may drop your coverage

In an informal survey of 22 Medicare plans, 10 are dropping at least one insulin from their coverage lists, according to Diane Omdahl, founder of 65 Inc ., which provides Medicare enrollment guidance through fee-for-service, one-on-one consultations. Four plans are dropping four or more different insulins, she said. 

If you're banking on the $35 out-of-pocket insulin cap to continue saving money next year, you must check your plan to see if your insulin is still covered.  Only if your drug plan covers your insulin will you receive the $35 cap, according to the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. 

"Plans have the option not to cover drugs, and that's what's happening," Omdahl said.

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It's a new day for mac 'n cheese fans.

NotMac&Cheese (yes, that's how it is spelled) will be the third product created by the joint venture between Kraft Heinz and TheNotCompany, a Chicago startup that makes plant-based milk, burgers and other products.

The venture, called the Kraft Heinz Not Company, has previously collaborated on NotCheese Slices and NotMayo.

Kraft Heinz began selling vegan mac in Australia in 2021, but this will be the first time it's been sold in the U.S.

About The Daily Money

Each weekday, The Daily Money delivers the best consumer news from USA TODAY. We break down financial news and provide the TLDR version: how decisions by the Federal Reserve, government and companies impact you.

November 24, 2023: People wait in line outside Macy's before opening on "Black Friday" in New York City on, November 24, 2023.

Gross domestic product, or GDP, portrays US economy as remarkably resilient. But another measure - gross domestic income - revives recession fears.

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